Tennis · Challenger Augsburg · 23/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mika Brunold vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Mika Brunold · Ergi Kirkin
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Brunold
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Brunold
6-4 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Brunold 1529 · Ergi Kirkin 1505
| Mika Brunold | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mika Brunold | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.4 | 12.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Brunold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Alex De Gabriele Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Brunold vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 63% to Mika Brunold, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.