Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 22/08, 22:30
Prediction: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeeva
Team pages: Lanlana Tararudee · Maria Timofeeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lanlana Tararudee
Maria Timofeeva
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lanlana Tararudee
8-2 (W-L)
Maria Timofeeva
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lanlana Tararudee
0–1
Maria Timofeeva
(1 last)
- 25 Jul0-2 4-11L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lanlana Tararudee 1574 · Maria Timofeeva 1521
| Lanlana Tararudee | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanlana Tararudee (rating 1574 vs 1521).
- Head-to-head: Lanlana Tararudee 0–1 Maria Timofeeva (1).
Statistics
| Lanlana Tararudee | Maria Timofeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.9 | 9.6-8.8 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 59% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Lanlana Tararudee 0 – 1 Maria Timofeeva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanlana Tararudee 0–1 Maria Timofeeva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/25 ITF W100 Figueira Da Foz | 0-2 | 4-11 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lanlana Tararudee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 21/07 | Jana Kovackova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maria Timofeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Ann Li WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lanlana Tararudee vs Maria Timofeeva?
Our model gives 61% to Lanlana Tararudee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.