Tennis · WTA Monterrey · 22/08, 21:00
Prediction: Caroline Werner vs Darja Vidmanova
Team pages: Caroline Werner · Darja Vidmanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Caroline Werner
Darja Vidmanova
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Caroline Werner
5-5 (W-L)
Darja Vidmanova
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caroline Werner 1443 · Darja Vidmanova 1529
| Caroline Werner | Darja Vidmanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darja Vidmanova (rating 1443 vs 1529).
- Darja Vidmanova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Caroline Werner | Darja Vidmanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.8 | 13-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriela Paun W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Alice Rame Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Darja Vidmanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Sloane Stephens WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Sakura Hosogi W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Carolyn Ansari WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caroline Werner vs Darja Vidmanova?
Our model gives 74% to Darja Vidmanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.