Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 26/08, 03:30

Prediction: Matei Gavrea vs Andrew Gordon

Team pages: Matei Gavrea · Andrew Gordon

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Matei Gavrea Andrew Gordon
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matei Gavrea 6-4 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWWW
Andrew Gordon 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matei Gavrea 1477 · Andrew Gordon 1409
Matei GavreaAndrew Gordon
Our model60%40%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matei Gavrea (rating 1477 vs 1409).
  • Matei Gavrea is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Matei GavreaAndrew Gordon
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard 29% (7) 13% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.7-1.7
Games (G-P)10.9-11.110.1-13.3
Aces0.32.4
Double faults3.32.3
1st serve %62%60.5%
Break %37.5%35.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matei Gavrea

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Ivan Savkin
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
12/07 Arsene Pougault
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Matic Dimic
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
10/07 Leonid Sheyngezikht
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
08/07 Nik Mikovic
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/07 Fred Gil
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
06/07 Charlie Penman
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/06 Rohan Sachdev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
03/06 Lathan Skrobarcek
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
03/06 Niels Hoffmann
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Andrew Gordon

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/08 Thomas Nelson
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
21/08 Henry Lamchinniah
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
20/08 Noah Folkesson Doudy
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
19/08 Max Sheldon
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Evan Lee
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
24/01 Harrison Michalowski
UTR Pro Bonita Springs · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
23/01 Daniil Kakhniuk
UTR Pro Bonita Springs · Clay
1-2 16-18 L
07/01 Cooper Johnson
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
06/01 Sachin Palta
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
05/01 Pedro Liborio
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matei Gavrea vs Andrew Gordon?

Our model gives 68% to Matei Gavrea, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.