Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 21/08, 04:00
Prediction: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Tianhui Zhang
Team pages: Petr Bar Biryukov · Tianhui Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov
Tianhui Zhang
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Bar Biryukov
7-3 (W-L)
Tianhui Zhang
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Petr Bar Biryukov
1–0
Tianhui Zhang
(1 last)
- 09 Sept2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Bar Biryukov 1572 · Tianhui Zhang 1495
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Bar Biryukov (rating 1572 vs 1495).
- Petr Bar Biryukov dominates on serve: 10.8 aces and 64.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Petr Bar Biryukov 1–0 Tianhui Zhang (1).
- Note: Petr Bar Biryukov makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.1 | 8.2-10 |
| Aces | 10.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 64.8% | 31.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Petr Bar Biryukov 1 – 0 Tianhui Zhang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petr Bar Biryukov 1–0 Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/25 Challenger Guangzhou | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Bar Biryukov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | James Van Herzeele M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Zhiheng Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Tianhui Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Stefan Storch M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Miles Jones M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 04/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Bar Biryukov vs Tianhui Zhang?
Our model gives 70% to Petr Bar Biryukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.