Tennis · M25 Slovenj Gradec · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sebastian Sorger vs Karlo Kajin
Team pages: Sebastian Sorger · Karlo Kajin
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Sorger
Karlo Kajin
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Sorger
8-2 (W-L)
Karlo Kajin
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Sorger 1581 · Karlo Kajin 1423
| Sebastian Sorger | Karlo Kajin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1581 vs 1423).
- Sebastian Sorger is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sebastian Sorger | Karlo Kajin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-6.8 | 7.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Simone Agostini M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 05/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/08 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Maximilian Figl M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Karlo Kajin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Matteo Fondriest M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Martin Muller M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Opatija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Opatija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/03 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Tommaso Compagnucci M15 Porec · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Sorger vs Karlo Kajin?
Our model gives 82% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.