Tennis · M25 Slovenj Gradec · 20/08, 10:00

Prediction: Jan Kupcic vs Giuseppe La Vela

Team pages: Jan Kupcic · Giuseppe La Vela

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Jan Kupcic Giuseppe La Vela
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kupcic 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWLW
Giuseppe La Vela 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jan Kupcic 1518 · Giuseppe La Vela 1495
Jan KupcicGiuseppe La Vela
Our model53%47%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jan KupcicGiuseppe La Vela
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)11.2-10.210.1-9.9
Aces21.8
Double faults3.72.6
1st serve %67.2%65.4%
Break %43.2%47.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jan Kupcic

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Andrea Fiorentini
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 12-6 W
25/06 Bor Artnak
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/06 Michelangelo Z F Mreule
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
16/06 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
1-2 10-13 L
07/06 Dylan Dietrich
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
06/06 Aljaz Jeran
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/06 Alexander Weis
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
04/06 Luca Castagnola
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-1 17-16 W
04/06 Jost Pecovnik
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
28/05 Matyas Fuele
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Giuseppe La Vela

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Henry Best
M25 Slovenj Gradec
2-0 12-2 W
27/07 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
26/07 Sergey Fomin
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-1 13-10 W
28/06 Petr Nesterov
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
24/06 Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
19/06 Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 13-18 L
18/06 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
17/06 Simone Massellani
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
15/06 Filippo Busciola
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
07/06 Carlo Alberto Caniato
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 0-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jan Kupcic vs Giuseppe La Vela?

Our model gives 61% to Giuseppe La Vela, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.