Tennis · M15 Kursumlijska Banja · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Timofei Derepasko vs Alessandro Bellifemine
Team pages: Timofei Derepasko · Alessandro Bellifemine
Prediction summary
Winner
Timofei Derepasko
Alessandro Bellifemine
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Timofei Derepasko
6-4 (W-L)
Alessandro Bellifemine
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timofei Derepasko 1520 · Alessandro Bellifemine 1537
| Timofei Derepasko | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Timofei Derepasko | Alessandro Bellifemine | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.4 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timofei Derepasko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Egor Shcherbakov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Loan Lestir M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mattias Pisanu M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Marko Milosavljevic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Semen Pankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Alessandro Bellifemine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Parth Aggarwal M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Veljko Krstic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Dimitar Kisimov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Artur Kukasian M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Nemanja Sapic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Alejandro Melero Kretzer M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Alen Mujakic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timofei Derepasko vs Alessandro Bellifemine?
Our model gives 51% to Timofei Derepasko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.