Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 20/08, 04:00
Prediction: Petr Bar Biryukov vs James Van Herzeele
Team pages: Petr Bar Biryukov · James Van Herzeele
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov
James Van Herzeele
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Bar Biryukov
6-4 (W-L)
James Van Herzeele
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Bar Biryukov 1563 · James Van Herzeele 1522
| Petr Bar Biryukov | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Bar Biryukov (rating 1563 vs 1522).
- Petr Bar Biryukov dominates on serve: 10.4 aces and 58.8% break avg.
- Note: Petr Bar Biryukov makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Petr Bar Biryukov | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.8 | 10.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 10.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 58.8% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Bar Biryukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Zhiheng Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Astana |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Shunsuke Mitsui M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
James Van Herzeele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Weiwen Pan M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Yua Taka M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Shixun Zhu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Hiiro Sakamoto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 10/06 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Bar Biryukov vs James Van Herzeele?
Our model gives 71% to Petr Bar Biryukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.