Tennis · Challenger Sion · 19/08, 13:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet

Team pages: Lorenzo Giustino · Henry Bernet

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Lorenzo Giustino Henry Bernet
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Giustino 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLWLLLW
Henry Bernet 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1519 · Henry Bernet 1531
Lorenzo GiustinoHenry Bernet
Our model48%52%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lorenzo GiustinoHenry Bernet
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.5-1.1
Games (G-P)11.8-12.713.8-11.3
Aces4.55.3
Double faults3.43.2
1st serve %72.3%72.8%
Break %53.9%55.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Giustino

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/08 Jerome Kym
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
06/08 Matej Dodig
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
04/08 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
28/07 Olle Wallin
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
19/07 Federico Cina
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
18/07 Nico Hipfl
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/07 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
1-2 9-14 L
12/07 Florian Broska
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 12-18 L
11/07 Miguel Damas
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Henry Bernet

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Johan Nikles
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
21/07 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
11/07 Hugo Dellien
Challenger Trieste · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
10/07 Federico Bondioli
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
09/07 Federico Agustin Gomez
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
07/07 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
06/07 Andrej Martin
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Leonardo Iemmi
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Marcello Serafini
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
19/06 Sandro Kopp
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Giustino vs Henry Bernet?

Our model gives 56% to Henry Bernet, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.