Tennis · Challenger Sion · 20/08, 10:00
Prediction: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Team pages: Tommaso Compagnucci · Juan Manuel La Serna
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommaso Compagnucci
Juan Manuel La Serna
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Tommaso Compagnucci
7-3 (W-L)
Juan Manuel La Serna
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommaso Compagnucci 1568 · Juan Manuel La Serna 1501
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tommaso Compagnucci (rating 1568 vs 1501).
Statistics
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.3 | 11.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommaso Compagnucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Max Dahlin Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/07 | Siddhant Banthia Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Huszar M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Juan Manuel La Serna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna?
Our model gives 56% to Tommaso Compagnucci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.