Tennis · M25 Slovenj Gradec · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Karlo Kajin vs Matteo Fondriest
Team pages: Matteo Fondriest
Prediction summary
Winner
Karlo Kajin
Matteo Fondriest
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Karlo Kajin
2-8 (W-L)
Matteo Fondriest
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karlo Kajin 1424 · Matteo Fondriest 1471
| Karlo Kajin | Matteo Fondriest | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Fondriest (rating 1424 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Karlo Kajin | Matteo Fondriest | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-11.8 | 9.5-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karlo Kajin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Martin Muller M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Aljaz Jeran M15 Opatija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Simeon Stankovic M15 Opatija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/03 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Zadar · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Tommaso Compagnucci M15 Porec · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Porec · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Matteo Fondriest
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Oskar Grzegorzewski M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ben Stecker M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexander Weis M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/04 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karlo Kajin vs Matteo Fondriest?
Our model gives 53% to Matteo Fondriest, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.