Tennis · W50 Prague · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Valeriya Strakhova
Team pages: Lucie Havlickova · Valeriya Strakhova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Valeriya Strakhova
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
6-4 (W-L)
Valeriya Strakhova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1482 · Valeriya Strakhova 1471
| Lucie Havlickova | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.6 | 11.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 57.1% |
| Break % | 53.1% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Valeriya Strakhova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Tereza Krejcova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Anna Dvorackova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Valentina Steiner W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Katerina Mandelikova W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Marie Mattel W50 Knokke-Heist |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Our model gives 65% to Lucie Havlickova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.