Tennis · W50 Prague · 19/08, 10:00

Prediction: Mayuka Aikawa vs Xinyu Gao

Team pages: Mayuka Aikawa · Xinyu Gao

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Mayuka Aikawa Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mayuka Aikawa 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLLWWWWW
Xinyu Gao 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mayuka Aikawa 1490 · Xinyu Gao 1519
Mayuka AikawaXinyu Gao
Our model46%54%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Mayuka AikawaXinyu Gao
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (3) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.3-1
Games (G-P)8.5-10.610.7-10.6
Aces1.11.9
Double faults2.42.3
1st serve %59.2%63.4%
Break %59.6%51.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mayuka Aikawa

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Barbora Michalkova
W50 Prague
2-0 12-4 W
17/08 Laetitia Pulchartova
W50 Prague
2-0 12-4 W
16/08 Mia Chudejova
W50 Prague
2-0 9-4 W
10/08 Rasheeda McAdoo
W50 Hamburg
1-2 13-18 L
09/08 Tina Manescu
W50 Hamburg
2-1 14-14 W
04/08 Daniela Vismane
W15 Hameenlinna
0-2 2-12 L
19/07 Azuna Ichioka
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/07 Yui Komada
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/07 Junri Namigata
UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
26/06 Ayumi Miyamoto
W15 Sapporo
0-2 8-13 L

Xinyu Gao

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Julia Adams
W50 Prague
2-0 13-8 W
06/08 Britt Du Pree
W75 Ourense
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Maria Toma
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Lilli Tagger
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/07 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Prague · Hard
2-1 12-11 W
18/07 Susan Bandecchi
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
16/07 Vendula Valdmannova
WTA Istanbul · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
14/07 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
12/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Corroios-Seixal
1-2 9-13 L
11/07 Han Shi
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mayuka Aikawa vs Xinyu Gao?

Our model gives 70% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.