Tennis · M15 Krakow · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Michael Agwi vs Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Team pages: Michael Agwi · Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Agwi
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Agwi
7-3 (W-L)
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Agwi 1586 · Juliusz Bienkiewicz 1524
| Michael Agwi | Juliusz Bienkiewicz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Agwi (rating 1586 vs 1524).
- Michael Agwi dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 45.7% break avg.
- Note: Michael Agwi makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Michael Agwi | Juliusz Bienkiewicz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Carpet | – | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.5 | 13-11.6 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 64.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Agwi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ziga Sesko M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/08 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Niklas Schell M15 Trier |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Maxime Chazal M15 Trier |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Amaury Raynel M15 Trier |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Markus Molder M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jules Leroux M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Zach Stephens M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Juliusz Bienkiewicz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Evangelos Kypriotis M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/03 | Nicola Ion UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/03 | James McGloughlin UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/03 | Aaron Gil Garcia UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 06/03 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/03 | Sam Bakker UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 03/03 | Twan Van Zijl UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Peter Fajta UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Agwi vs Juliusz Bienkiewicz?
Our model gives 75% to Michael Agwi, using surface Elo on carpet.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (carpet) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.