Tennis · M15 Krakow · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Peter Fajta vs Lorenzo Ferri
Team pages: Peter Fajta · Lorenzo Ferri
Prediction summary
Winner
Peter Fajta
Lorenzo Ferri
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Peter Fajta
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Ferri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peter Fajta 1486 · Lorenzo Ferri 1468
| Peter Fajta | Lorenzo Ferri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Peter Fajta | Lorenzo Ferri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12 | 9.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 34% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peter Fajta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Pablo Martinez Gomez Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Gabor Hornung M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Ben Stecker M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/06 | Yannik Kelm M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Dali Blanch Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lorenzo Ferri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Adam Kaczmarek M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Maxwell Castle M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Markus Molder M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jakub Hrynkiewicz M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Sander Juuhl Sivertsen M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peter Fajta vs Lorenzo Ferri?
Our model gives 65% to Peter Fajta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.