Tennis · M15 Krakow · 19/08, 10:00

Prediction: Daniel Michalski vs Nikola Keremedchiev

Team pages: Daniel Michalski · Nikola Keremedchiev

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Daniel Michalski Nikola Keremedchiev
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Michalski 6-4 (W-L)
WLLLWWWLWW
Nikola Keremedchiev 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniel Michalski 1500 · Nikola Keremedchiev 1484
Daniel MichalskiNikola Keremedchiev
Our model52%48%
Market93%7%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Daniel MichalskiNikola Keremedchiev
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.1-1.2
Games (G-P)10.9-9.311.7-11.6
Aces1.34
Double faults1.60
1st serve %77.1%70%
Break %54.5%44%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniel Michalski

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Lukas Neumayer
Challenger Todi · Clay
1-2 11-17 L
11/08 Lorenzo Carboni
Challenger Todi · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
01/08 Oleg Prihodko
M25 Koszalin
0-2 5-12 L
31/07 Marcel Zielinski
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Wojciech Marek
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-6 W
29/07 Przemyslaw Michocki
M25 Koszalin
2-0 12-3 W
18/07 Federico Cina
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
1-2 9-15 L
11/07 Calvin Hemery
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 15-15 L
09/07 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
07/07 Pedro Boscardin Dias
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Nikola Keremedchiev

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Patrik Homola
M15 Krakow
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
29/07 Filip Soderqvist
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Botond Nagy
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
27/07 Merse Deli
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
21/06 Charlie Swaine
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
20/06 Calin Teodor Stirbu
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-1 15-15 W
17/06 Matias Ponce De Leon
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
16/06 Gorazd Srbljak
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
15/06 Charlie Penman
UTR Pro Skopje · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniel Michalski vs Nikola Keremedchiev?

Our model gives 75% to Daniel Michalski, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.