Tennis · Challenger Prague · 19/08, 13:00
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Maxim Mrva
Team pages: Cezar Cretu · Maxim Mrva
Prediction summary
Winner
Cezar Cretu
Maxim Mrva
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu
4-6 (W-L)
Maxim Mrva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1475 · Maxim Mrva 1609
| Cezar Cretu | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxim Mrva (rating 1475 vs 1609).
- Maxim Mrva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.4 | 11.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Nick Mertgens Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Maxim Mrva?
Our model gives 66% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.