Tennis · Challenger Prague · 20/08, 15:30
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Jan Kumstat
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
7-3 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maxim Mrva
1–0
Jan Kumstat
(1 last)
- 15 Apr2-0 11-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1635 · Jan Kumstat 1644
| Maxim Mrva | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 42.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Maxim Mrva 1–0 Jan Kumstat (1).
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 100% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 2-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8 | 14.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Maxim Mrva 1 – 0 Jan Kumstat (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maxim Mrva 1–0 Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/25 M15 Antalya | 2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Nick Mertgens Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jan Kumstat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alan Wazny Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 54% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.