Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 19/08, 11:00
Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Patrick Brady
Team pages: Lui Maxted · Patrick Brady
Prediction summary
Winner
Lui Maxted
Patrick Brady
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted
4-6 (W-L)
Patrick Brady
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1546 · Patrick Brady 1589
| Lui Maxted | Patrick Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Brady (rating 1546 vs 1589).
Statistics
| Lui Maxted | Patrick Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12 | 11.2-7.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 77% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Mark Ceban M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcus Walters M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Billy Blaydes M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Clement Lemire M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Louis Larue M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Patrick Brady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Toby Martin M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexis Canter M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Herman Hoeyeraal Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | James Mackinlay Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Patrick Brady?
Our model gives 53% to Patrick Brady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.