Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 20/08, 11:00

Prediction: Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Alastair Gray

Team pages: Gabi Adrian Boitan · Alastair Gray

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Gabi Adrian Boitan Alastair Gray
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Gabi Adrian Boitan 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWWWLWWW
Alastair Gray 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1501 · Alastair Gray 1509
Gabi Adrian BoitanAlastair Gray
Our model49%51%
Market22%78%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Gabi Adrian Boitan makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Gabi Adrian BoitanAlastair Gray
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.11.1-1.1
Games (G-P)12.7-12.311.2-9.5
Aces3.14.7
Double faults5.72.7
1st serve %71.2%72.9%
Break %38.6%42.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Christian Langmo
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
03/08 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
27/07 Gabriel Debru
Challenger Samsun · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
19/07 Juan Pablo Varillas
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
16/07 Semen Aginskiy
M15 Slobozia
1-2 13-15 L
15/07 Vlad Cristian Breazu
M15 Slobozia
2-0 13-5 W
21/06 Dan Alexandru Tomescu
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L
20/06 Cezar Gabriel Papoe
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
19/06 Radu David Turcanu
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
17/06 David Ioan Morega
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Alastair Gray

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Emile Hudd
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
21/07 Akira Santillan
Challenger Segovia · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
14/07 Izan Almazan Valiente
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
11/07 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
10/07 Yi Zhou
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Patrick Brady
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-2 W
06/07 Oscar Weightman
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
20/06 Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 12-14 L
15/06 August Holmgren
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
14/06 James Watt
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Alastair Gray?

Our model gives 66% to Alastair Gray, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.