Tennis · Challenger Prague · 19/08, 10:00
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagal
Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Sumit Nagal
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Sumit Nagal
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
7-3 (W-L)
Sumit Nagal
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan Kumstat
1–0
Sumit Nagal
(1 last)
- 01 Aug2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1649 · Sumit Nagal 1532
| Jan Kumstat | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1649 vs 1532).
- Jan Kumstat is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jan Kumstat 1–0 Sumit Nagal (1).
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-10.4 | 11.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 82.5% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Jan Kumstat 1 – 0 Sumit Nagal (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan Kumstat 1–0 Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Challenger Liberec | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Tom Zeuch Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/08 | Alan Wazny Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Sumit Nagal?
Our model gives 63% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.