Tennis · Challenger Sion · 19/08, 10:00

Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci

Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Tommaso Compagnucci

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Ryan Nijboer Tommaso Compagnucci
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLLW
Tommaso Compagnucci 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1552 · Tommaso Compagnucci 1578
Ryan NijboerTommaso Compagnucci
Our model46%54%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ryan NijboerTommaso Compagnucci
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.4-0.7
Games (G-P)11.8-8.911-9
Aces1.82.4
Double faults2.31.8
1st serve %70%70.7%
Break %63.8%47.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ryan Nijboer

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Murkel Dellien
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
09/08 Jannik Opitz
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
17/07 Guy Den Ouden
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/07 Niels Visker
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/07 Mika Brunold
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
13/07 Dimitar Kuzmanov
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
12/07 Amit Vales
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
07/07 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/07 Kasra Rahmani
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Maxence Bertimon
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-1 15-11 W

Tommaso Compagnucci

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Max Dahlin
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/08 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/08 Aleksandr Braynin
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
28/07 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/07 Dali Blanch
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
26/07 Siddhant Banthia
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
25/07 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Ollersbach
0-2 6-12 L
24/07 Sebastian Sorger
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 13-8 W
23/07 Alex Huszar
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-5 W
22/07 Petros Tsitsipas
M25 Ollersbach
2-1 16-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Tommaso Compagnucci?

Our model gives 55% to Tommaso Compagnucci, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.