Tennis · M25 Ueberlingen · 19/08, 10:00

Prediction: Arian Barbic vs Carlos Giraldi

Team pages: Arian Barbic · Carlos Giraldi

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Arian Barbic Carlos Giraldi
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arian Barbic 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLLW
Carlos Giraldi 4-6 (W-L)
WLLLWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arian Barbic 1480 · Carlos Giraldi 1465
Arian BarbicCarlos Giraldi
Our model52%48%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Arian BarbicCarlos Giraldi
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (3) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.50.8-1.3
Games (G-P)9.1-11.48.4-10.3
Aces3.71.3
Double faults2.13.7
1st serve %65.5%60%
Break %36.4%42.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arian Barbic

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Elias Julian Werner
M25 Ueberlingen
2-1 11-9 W
07/08 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 7-12 L
06/08 Pierre Delage
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 15-18 W
05/08 Martins Rocens
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Wetzlar
0-2 8-12 L
08/07 Matthew William Donald
M25 Kassel
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Giovanni Branchetti
M25 Kassel
2-1 11-10 W
01/07 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Jakub Filip
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
15/06 David Fix
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-2 10-9 L

Carlos Giraldi

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Hanu Patel
M25 Ueberlingen
2-0 13-9 W
12/08 Bengt Johan Reinhard
M15 Trier
0-2 2-12 L
11/08 Dean Thurner
M15 Trier
2-0 12-3 W
04/08 Kirill Kivattsev
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 4-12 L
29/07 Jack Loge
M25 Wetzlar
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Pepijn Bastiaansen
M25 Wetzlar
2-0 13-7 W
14/07 Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Uslar
0-2 6-12 L
29/06 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 George Lazarov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/06 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 13-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arian Barbic vs Carlos Giraldi?

Our model gives 53% to Carlos Giraldi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.