Tennis · M25 Ueberlingen · 22/08, 11:30
Prediction: Jannik Maute vs Arthur Nagel
Team pages: Jannik Maute · Arthur Nagel
Prediction summary
Winner
Jannik Maute
Arthur Nagel
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jannik Maute
6-4 (W-L)
Arthur Nagel
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jannik Maute
0–1
Arthur Nagel
(1 last)
- 20 Aug1-2 15-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jannik Maute 1461 · Arthur Nagel 1525
| Jannik Maute | Arthur Nagel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Nagel (rating 1461 vs 1525).
- Head-to-head: Jannik Maute 0–1 Arthur Nagel (1).
Statistics
| Jannik Maute | Arthur Nagel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12 | 12.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Jannik Maute 0 – 1 Arthur Nagel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jannik Maute 0–1 Arthur Nagel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/25 ITF M25 Uberlingen | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jannik Maute
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Denis Yevseyev M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/08 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Tanguy Genier M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/04 | Henry Lieberman M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Radu Mihai Papoe M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/01 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/01 | Marshall Tutu UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/01 | Nicolas Rosenzweig UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/01 | Scott Macaulay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/12 | Peter Alam UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Arthur Nagel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Laurens Harnoth Manrubia M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 07/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 05/08 | Harold Huens M15 Eupen |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 01/08 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Tristan Berard M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Liam Branger M15 Strasbourg |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Maxime Chazal M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Mae Malige M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jannik Maute vs Arthur Nagel?
Our model gives 66% to Arthur Nagel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.