Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 19/08, 04:00
Prediction: Yidi Yang vs Alisa Vasileva
Team pages: Alisa Vasileva
Prediction summary
Winner
Yidi Yang
Alisa Vasileva
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Yidi Yang
3-7 (W-L)
Alisa Vasileva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yidi Yang 1504 · Alisa Vasileva 1435
| Yidi Yang | Alisa Vasileva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yidi Yang (rating 1504 vs 1435).
- Yidi Yang is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Alisa Vasileva makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Yidi Yang | Alisa Vasileva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.9 | 9.2-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 53% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yidi Yang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Junhan Zhang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Mai Hontama W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Kira Pavlova W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Yufei Ren W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mei Yamaguchi W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Hina Inoue W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Chenting Zhu W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Yujia Huang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alisa Vasileva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Maiko Uchijima W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 11/08 | Sunam Jeong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Nikola Koprivova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Armine Yesaian W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Meshkatolzahra Safi W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/02 | Nina Vargova W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Mua Shigeta W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/02 | Elena Grekul W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yidi Yang vs Alisa Vasileva?
Our model gives 78% to Yidi Yang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.