Tennis · Challenger Sion · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Giustino vs Thiago Cigarran
Team pages: Lorenzo Giustino · Thiago Cigarran
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Giustino
Thiago Cigarran
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Giustino
6-4 (W-L)
Thiago Cigarran
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1498 · Thiago Cigarran 1562
| Lorenzo Giustino | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Cigarran (rating 1498 vs 1562).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Giustino | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.9 | 12-11 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nico Hipfl ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Jack Loge Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Thiago Cigarran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Michael Zhu Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Trier |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Trier |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Murkel Dellien M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Santiago Lora M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Giustino vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 61% to Lorenzo Giustino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.