Tennis · M25 Ueberlingen · 18/08, 12:00
Prediction: Nicola Senn vs Laurin Aerne
Team pages: Nicola Senn · Laurin Aerne
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicola Senn
Laurin Aerne
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Nicola Senn
4-6 (W-L)
Laurin Aerne
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicola Senn
1–0
Laurin Aerne
(1 last)
- 06 Oct2-1 21-19W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicola Senn 1471 · Laurin Aerne 1390
| Nicola Senn | Laurin Aerne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicola Senn (rating 1471 vs 1390).
- Nicola Senn is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nicola Senn 1–0 Laurin Aerne (1).
Statistics
| Nicola Senn | Laurin Aerne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.9 | 8-11.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Nicola Senn 1 – 0 Laurin Aerne (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicola Senn 1–0 Laurin Aerne
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/24 ITF M25 Sintra | 2-1 | 21-19 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicola Senn
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Luca Staeheli M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Noah Karma M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Lenny Petit M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Yanis Peterhans M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 14/06 | Batiste Guerra M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mak Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Laurin Aerne
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Adrien Burdet M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 26/07 | Andre Meinertz M25 Gentofte |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 15/07 | Mathys Picard M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mathys Picard M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Antoine Mayoral M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Nicholas David Ionel M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 02/03 | Erwin Troebinger M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Alfie King M25 Sheffield |
1-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 18/11 | Arjun Mehrotra ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/11 | Yuta Kawahashi ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicola Senn vs Laurin Aerne?
Our model gives 74% to Nicola Senn, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.