Tennis · M25 Ueberlingen · 18/08, 12:00

Prediction: Elias Julian Werner vs Arian Barbic

Team pages: Arian Barbic

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Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Elias Julian Werner Arian Barbic
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Elias Julian Werner 1-9 (W-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Arian Barbic 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elias Julian Werner 1398 · Arian Barbic 1452
Elias Julian WernerArian Barbic
Our model42%58%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arian Barbic (rating 1398 vs 1452).

Statistics

Elias Julian WernerArian Barbic
Win %10%30%
Win % · Hard 13% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.3-1.80.7-1.6
Games (G-P)6.2-11.28.2-11.7
Aces1.63.6
Double faults1.82
1st serve %58.9%60.5%
Break %21.1%36.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elias Julian Werner

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/06 Petros Tsitsipas
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
12/05 Piet Luis Pinter
M15 Prijedor · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
01/04 Hikaru Shiraishi
M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/03 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
10/03 Sungbeen Sim
M15 Hinode · ~Hard
1-2 12-12 L
15/02 Aubin Rouillon
M15 Lannion · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
17/12 Preston Brown
ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard
0-2 8-11 L
17/12 Alexander Klintcharov
ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard
2-0 11-4 W
10/12 Matt Kuhar
ITF M15 Hamilton
0-2 6-12 L
19/11 Evan Zhu
ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Arian Barbic

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/08 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Frankfurt
0-2 7-12 L
06/08 Pierre Delage
M15 Frankfurt
2-1 15-18 W
05/08 Martins Rocens
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-7 W
29/07 Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Wetzlar
0-2 8-12 L
08/07 Matthew William Donald
M25 Kassel
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Giovanni Branchetti
M25 Kassel
2-1 11-10 W
01/07 Leonardo Rossi
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Jakub Filip
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
15/06 David Fix
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-2 10-9 L
02/06 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elias Julian Werner vs Arian Barbic?

Our model gives 64% to Arian Barbic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.