Tennis · M25 Ueberlingen · 18/08, 16:30
Prediction: Denis Yevseyev vs Matteo Covato
Team pages: Denis Yevseyev · Matteo Covato
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Yevseyev
Matteo Covato
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Yevseyev
4-6 (W-L)
Matteo Covato
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Yevseyev 1480 · Matteo Covato 1390
| Denis Yevseyev | Matteo Covato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denis Yevseyev (rating 1480 vs 1390).
- Denis Yevseyev is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Denis Yevseyev | Matteo Covato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 0% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.3-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-12.4 | 7.5-13 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 59% |
| Break % | 41.5% | 19.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Yevseyev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Noel Larwig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Leonardo Borrelli Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Matteo Covato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Adrien Berrut M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Joshua Peck M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oliver Sanders M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Dylan Salton M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Stefan Storch M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Yevseyev vs Matteo Covato?
Our model gives 78% to Denis Yevseyev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.