Tennis · M25 Ueberlingen · 19/08, 10:00

Prediction: Manuel Plunger vs Adrian Oetzbach

Team pages: Manuel Plunger · Adrian Oetzbach

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Manuel Plunger Adrian Oetzbach
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Manuel Plunger 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWWL
Adrian Oetzbach 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manuel Plunger 1474 · Adrian Oetzbach 1549
Manuel PlungerAdrian Oetzbach
Our model39%61%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Oetzbach (rating 1474 vs 1549).

Statistics

Manuel PlungerAdrian Oetzbach
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 38% (8) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31.4-0.8
Games (G-P)9.1-11.412-11.2
Aces1.62.7
Double faults3.42.6
1st serve %64.7%68.2%
Break %34.7%43.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manuel Plunger

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Adrian Andreev
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-0 6-3 W
16/07 Alexander Wagner
M25 Kramsach
1-2 13-17 L
14/07 Daniel Siniakov
M25 Kramsach
2-1 16-14 W
25/06 Matthew William Donald
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
17/06 Niklas Schell
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
28/05 Matthew William Donald
M25 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
26/05 Giammarco Gandolfi
M25 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
19/05 Peter Fajta
M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
1-2 8-15 L

Adrian Oetzbach

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Trier
1-2 14-19 L
13/08 Thiago Cigarran
M15 Trier
2-0 12-7 W
11/08 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Trier
2-0 12-7 W
06/08 David Fix
M15 Frankfurt
1-2 16-16 L
05/08 Oliver Ojakaar
M15 Frankfurt
2-0 12-8 W
26/07 Mika Petkovic
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
25/07 Raphael Perot
M25 Metzingen
0-2 6-12 L
24/07 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Metzingen
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Jack Loge
M25 Metzingen
2-0 14-12 W
22/07 Pieter De Lange
M25 Metzingen
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manuel Plunger vs Adrian Oetzbach?

Our model gives 69% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.