Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 18/08, 11:00
Prediction: Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes
Team pages: Michael Geerts · Billy Blaydes
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Geerts
Billy Blaydes
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Geerts
7-3 (W-L)
Billy Blaydes
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Geerts 1502 · Billy Blaydes 1567
| Michael Geerts | Billy Blaydes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Billy Blaydes (rating 1502 vs 1567).
- Billy Blaydes is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michael Geerts | Billy Blaydes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.6 | 12.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 71% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Geerts
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Robert M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Pieter De Lange Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Niels Visker Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 28/04 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Billy Blaydes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | John Echeverria Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Alexis Gautier Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Alex Rybakov M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Anuj Watane M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Emile Hudd M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Tiago Cacao M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | William Jansen M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/07 | Lui Maxted M25 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Freddie Ridout M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Anuj Watane M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Geerts vs Billy Blaydes?
Our model gives 51% to Billy Blaydes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.