Tennis · Challenger Roehampton · 18/08, 11:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Patrick Brady
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Patrick Brady
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Patrick Brady
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
7-3 (W-L)
Patrick Brady
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alec Deckers
0–1
Patrick Brady
(1 last)
- 02 May0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1557 · Patrick Brady 1562
| Alec Deckers | Patrick Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 50.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alec Deckers 0–1 Patrick Brady (1).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Patrick Brady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-11.5 | 10.8-7.9 |
| Aces | 10.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 81% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Alec Deckers 0 – 1 Patrick Brady (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alec Deckers 0–1 Patrick Brady
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/23 M25 Nottingham | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Ali Habib Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Conor Gannon Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 11/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Egor Agafonov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Danial Rakhmatullayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Kerem Yilmaz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Samim Filiz Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Charlie Robertson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Andreas Timini M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Udit Kamboj M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Patrick Brady
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Toby Martin M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexis Canter M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Herman Hoeyeraal Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | James Mackinlay Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Patrick Brady?
Our model gives 55% to Patrick Brady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.