Tennis · Challenger Prague · 18/08, 10:00
Prediction: Matias Soto vs Rudolf Molleker
Team pages: Matias Soto · Rudolf Molleker
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Soto
Rudolf Molleker
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Soto
7-3 (W-L)
Rudolf Molleker
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Soto 1553 · Rudolf Molleker 1540
| Matias Soto | Rudolf Molleker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rudolf Molleker dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 59.5% break avg.
- Note: Rudolf Molleker makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Matias Soto | Rudolf Molleker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11 | 11.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Soto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Gabriel P Tumasonis M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Mwendwa Mbithi Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Rudolf Molleker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Jakub Paul Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/08 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Tim Handel Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Dax Donders Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Soto vs Rudolf Molleker?
Our model gives 54% to Rudolf Molleker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.