Tennis · Challenger Prague · 18/08, 14:30
Prediction: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic
Team pages: Maxim Mrva · Nerman Fatic
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxim Mrva
Nerman Fatic
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maxim Mrva
6-4 (W-L)
Nerman Fatic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxim Mrva 1596 · Nerman Fatic 1556
| Maxim Mrva | Nerman Fatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxim Mrva (rating 1596 vs 1556).
- Nerman Fatic dominates on serve: 13.6 aces and 45% break avg.
- Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Maxim Mrva | Nerman Fatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.4 | 13.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 4 | 13.6 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Nick Mertgens Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Nerman Fatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Alec Beckley Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Kyrian Jacquet French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Luka Mikrut French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Elmer Moller Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/05 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/05 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/04 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Fatic?
Our model gives 59% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.