Tennis · Challenger Prague · 18/08, 11:30
Prediction: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos
Team pages: Gilles Arnaud Bailly · Norbert Gombos
Prediction summary
Winner
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Norbert Gombos
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
5-5 (W-L)
Norbert Gombos
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gilles Arnaud Bailly 1489 · Norbert Gombos 1576
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Norbert Gombos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Norbert Gombos (rating 1489 vs 1576).
- Norbert Gombos is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | Norbert Gombos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.1 | 12.2-9 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 48% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Raphael Perot M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Fadi Bidan M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Mac Visser M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Zaccharie Cado M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Miguel Damas Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Norbert Gombos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Alexander Ritschard Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombos?
Our model gives 58% to Norbert Gombos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.