Tennis · M25 Slovenj Gradec · 18/08, 13:30
Prediction: Aljaz Jeran vs Valerio Aboian
Team pages: Aljaz Jeran · Valerio Aboian
Prediction summary
Winner
Aljaz Jeran
Valerio Aboian
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aljaz Jeran
6-4 (W-L)
Valerio Aboian
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aljaz Jeran 1518 · Valerio Aboian 1469
| Aljaz Jeran | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aljaz Jeran (rating 1518 vs 1469).
Statistics
| Aljaz Jeran | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-8.2 | 10.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 50% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aljaz Jeran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Christopher Thies M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Jan Kupcic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Maximilian Homberg Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Yannic Nittmann Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 02/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Facundo Mena Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aljaz Jeran vs Valerio Aboian?
Our model gives 58% to Valerio Aboian, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.