Tennis · M25 Slovenj Gradec · 18/08, 13:30
Prediction: Bruno Fernandez vs Stefan Popovic
Team pages: Bruno Fernandez · Stefan Popovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Bruno Fernandez
Stefan Popovic
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Bruno Fernandez
5-5 (W-L)
Stefan Popovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bruno Fernandez 1396 · Stefan Popovic 1531
| Bruno Fernandez | Stefan Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Popovic (rating 1396 vs 1531).
- Stefan Popovic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Bruno Fernandez makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Bruno Fernandez | Stefan Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.8 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.6 | 10.3-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bruno Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Niklas Schell M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Luca Castagnola M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/05 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Stefan Popovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Max Houkes M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Gorazd Srbljak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Edoardo Zanada M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Federico Valle M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bruno Fernandez vs Stefan Popovic?
Our model gives 58% to Stefan Popovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.