Tennis · M25 Slovenj Gradec · 18/08, 13:30
Prediction: Maximilian Figl vs Luca Castagnola
Team pages: Maximilian Figl · Luca Castagnola
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximilian Figl
Luca Castagnola
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Figl
4-6 (W-L)
Luca Castagnola
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximilian Figl 1495 · Luca Castagnola 1492
| Maximilian Figl | Luca Castagnola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maximilian Figl | Luca Castagnola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.2 | 10-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximilian Figl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Toprak Avcibasi M15 Malmo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Fano |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Fano |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Leonardo Iemmi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Luca Castagnola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Bruno Fernandez M15 Trier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Yoan Naydenov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Luca Parenti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximilian Figl vs Luca Castagnola?
Our model gives 60% to Luca Castagnola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.