Tennis · W50 Prague · 18/08, 09:30
Prediction: Julia Adams vs Xinyu Gao
Team pages: Julia Adams · Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Adams
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Adams
4-6 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Adams 1510 · Xinyu Gao 1515
| Julia Adams | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Julia Adams makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Julia Adams | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.4 | 10.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Adams
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Klara Blazkova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Khrystyna Vozniak W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Kaat Coppez W75 Koksijde |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Irina Balus W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Amstetten |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Radka Zelnickova W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Darja Suvirdjonkova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Adelina Lachinova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 19/06 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Allison Isaacs W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Britt Du Pree W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Maria Toma W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Adams vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 72% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.