Tennis · W50 Prague · 18/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mayuka Aikawa vs Barbora Michalkova
Team pages: Mayuka Aikawa · Barbora Michalkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Mayuka Aikawa
Barbora Michalkova
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mayuka Aikawa
5-5 (W-L)
Barbora Michalkova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mayuka Aikawa
1–0
Barbora Michalkova
(1 last)
- 29 Sept2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mayuka Aikawa 1489 · Barbora Michalkova 1553
| Mayuka Aikawa | Barbora Michalkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Michalkova (rating 1489 vs 1553).
- Barbora Michalkova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mayuka Aikawa 1–0 Barbora Michalkova (1).
Statistics
| Mayuka Aikawa | Barbora Michalkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-10.7 | 11.6-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 61% |
| Break % | 64.1% | 66.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Mayuka Aikawa 1 – 0 Barbora Michalkova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mayuka Aikawa 1–0 Barbora Michalkova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/25 ITF W75 Bratislava | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mayuka Aikawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Laetitia Pulchartova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Mia Chudejova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Tina Manescu W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Daniela Vismane W15 Hameenlinna |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Barbora Michalkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Adela Polakovicova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Polina Berezina W15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Ivana Sebestova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Katarzyna Wysoczanska UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Barbora Matouskova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Vanesa Sulcova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Gabriela Skrabalova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Anna Zyryanova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Ema Baraniakova UTR Pro Olomouc Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mayuka Aikawa vs Barbora Michalkova?
Our model gives 60% to Mayuka Aikawa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.