Tennis · UTR Pro Murfreesboro · 18/08, 15:30
Prediction: Matthias Uwe Kask vs Felipe Pinzon Moreno
Team pages: Matthias Uwe Kask
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthias Uwe Kask
Felipe Pinzon Moreno
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matthias Uwe Kask
7-3 (W-L)
Felipe Pinzon Moreno
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthias Uwe Kask 1526 · Felipe Pinzon Moreno 1594
| Matthias Uwe Kask | Felipe Pinzon Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Pinzon Moreno (rating 1526 vs 1594).
Statistics
| Matthias Uwe Kask | Felipe Pinzon Moreno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.7 | 11.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthias Uwe Kask
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Rafael Segado Esteve M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Hugo Grenier M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Didrik Liljekvist M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Markus Molder M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Hanu Patel M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Felipe Pinzon Moreno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Clement Mayoral UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/11 | Petar Teodorovic UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/11 | Alexander Brzov UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | David Saye UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Noah Eisenberg UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Nathan Gold UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Clement Mainguy UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Elias Shokry UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Santiago Giamichelle UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthias Uwe Kask vs Felipe Pinzon Moreno?
Our model gives 56% to Matthias Uwe Kask, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.