Tennis · UTR Pro Murfreesboro · 22/08, 15:30

Prediction: Felipe Pinzon Moreno vs Vojtech Vales

Team pages: Felipe Pinzon Moreno · Vojtech Vales

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Felipe Pinzon Moreno Vojtech Vales
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Felipe Pinzon Moreno 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLLW
Vojtech Vales 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Felipe Pinzon Moreno 1583 · Vojtech Vales 1522
Felipe Pinzon MorenoVojtech Vales
Our model59%41%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Pinzon Moreno (rating 1583 vs 1522).

Statistics

Felipe Pinzon MorenoVojtech Vales
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.51.4-1
Games (G-P)11.3-8.612.3-10.7
Aces3.24
Double faults3.31.7
1st serve %71.4%83.3%
Break %32.9%17%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Felipe Pinzon Moreno

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Eric Crivei
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/08 Matthias Uwe Kask
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Clement Mayoral
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
23/11 Petar Teodorovic
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
22/11 Alexander Brzov
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/09 David Saye
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/09 Noah Eisenberg
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/09 Nathan Gold
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
09/09 Clement Mainguy
UTR Pro Ithaca · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
01/09 Elias Shokry
UTR Pro San Diego · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Vojtech Vales

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Asier Ayllon Prado
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
19/08 Elijah Poritzky
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
18/08 Birtan Duran
UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
01/08 Patrik Meszaros
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
31/07 Benjamin Martin
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-1 16-8 W
29/07 Achilles Belkovics
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-1 13-12 W
28/07 Zdenek Derkas
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
27/07 Milan Markovits
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
05/07 Ondrej Valek
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
04/07 Jaroslav Pospisil
UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Felipe Pinzon Moreno vs Vojtech Vales?

Our model gives 53% to Felipe Pinzon Moreno, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.