Tennis · W15 Tianjin · 18/08, 05:30
Prediction: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Yui Chikaraishi
Team pages: Eva Marie Desvignes
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Marie Desvignes
Yui Chikaraishi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Marie Desvignes
5-5 (W-L)
Yui Chikaraishi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Marie Desvignes 1492 · Yui Chikaraishi 1446
| Eva Marie Desvignes | Yui Chikaraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Marie Desvignes (rating 1492 vs 1446).
Statistics
| Eva Marie Desvignes | Yui Chikaraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-10.4 | 7.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 47.6% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Marie Desvignes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Marianna Shikhanova W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Yu Jun Lin W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Anastasia Efremova W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 01/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-10 | L |
| 26/06 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Yui Chikaraishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Natsuho Arakawa W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/05 | Riko Kikawada W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/05 | Riko Kikawada W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/04 | Ariana Arseneault W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/03 | Rianna Alame W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Kisa Yoshioka W35 Timaru |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Bianca Compuesto W35 Timaru |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/02 | Emi Nakajima UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Marie Desvignes vs Yui Chikaraishi?
Our model gives 74% to Eva Marie Desvignes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.