Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 19/08, 04:00

Prediction: Isaac Becroft vs Fumin Jiang

Team pages: Isaac Becroft · Fumin Jiang

Prediction summary
Winner
82% 18%
Isaac Becroft Fumin Jiang
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Isaac Becroft 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWLWLLL
Fumin Jiang 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isaac Becroft 1603 · Fumin Jiang 1434
Isaac BecroftFumin Jiang
Our model73%27%
Market89%11%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isaac Becroft (rating 1603 vs 1434).
  • Isaac Becroft is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Fumin Jiang makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Isaac BecroftFumin Jiang
Win %80%20%
Win % · Hard 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.70.5-1.6
Games (G-P)12.8-10.18.2-11.2
Aces5.92.7
Double faults1.64.1
1st serve %70.3%60.6%
Break %48.2%45.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isaac Becroft

WWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Duckhee Lee
M15 Tianjin
0-2 7-12 L
12/08 Ye Chen
M15 Tianjin
2-1 17-14 W
08/08 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
07/08 Hanlei Lu
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-7 W
06/08 Geun Jun Kim
M15 Tianjin
2-1 17-12 W
05/08 Kaigaoge Kang
M15 Tianjin
2-0 12-3 W
02/08 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali
2-1 19-14 W
01/08 Asahi Harazaki
M15 Bali
2-0 13-8 W
31/07 Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Bali
2-0 14-12 W
30/07 Corban Crowther
M15 Bali
2-0 12-7 W

Fumin Jiang

LWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/08 Jaesung Choe
M15 Tianjin
0-2 8-13 L
24/06 Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Roman Sancilio
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
20/05 Yaojie Zeng
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
07/05 Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
M15 Islamabad · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
06/05 Matas Vasiliauskas
M15 Islamabad · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
15/04 Sebastian Gima
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
13/01 Benjamin Pietri
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
07/01 Zhengyu Sun
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isaac Becroft vs Fumin Jiang?

Our model gives 82% to Isaac Becroft, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.