Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 19/08, 04:00
Prediction: Qian Sun vs Tianhui Zhang
Team pages: Qian Sun · Tianhui Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Qian Sun
Tianhui Zhang
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Qian Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Tianhui Zhang
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Qian Sun
1–1
Tianhui Zhang
(2 last)
- 22 May0-2 6-12L
- 05 Jul2-1 18-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qian Sun 1471 · Tianhui Zhang 1509
| Qian Sun | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Qian Sun | Tianhui Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.6 | 8.4-10 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Qian Sun 1 – 1 Tianhui Zhang (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qian Sun 1–1 Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/25 M15 Luan | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07/23 M15 Tianjin | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qian Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Hanlei Lu M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Shu Muto M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Miles Jones M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 04/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 03/06 | Ilya Maltsev M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qian Sun vs Tianhui Zhang?
Our model gives 57% to Tianhui Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.