Tennis · UTR Pro Murfreesboro · 17/08, 15:30

Prediction: Matthias Uwe Kask vs Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon

Team pages: Matthias Uwe Kask

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Matthias Uwe Kask Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matthias Uwe Kask 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWWL
Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matthias Uwe Kask 1516 · Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon 1502
Matthias Uwe KaskJuan Pablo Valdez Guzon
Our model52%48%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Matthias Uwe KaskJuan Pablo Valdez Guzon
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)11.3-10.510.7-10.3
Aces2.15.5
Double faults2.90
1st serve %69.8%76%
Break %59.5%40.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matthias Uwe Kask

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Tiago Cacao
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 8-13 L
13/07 Rafael Segado Esteve
M15 Castelo Branco
2-1 10-9 W
08/07 Ludovico Vaccari
M25 Roda de Bara
1-2 10-12 L
07/07 Hugo Grenier
M25 Roda de Bara
2-1 12-11 W
06/07 Didrik Liljekvist
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 13-7 W
16/06 Alberto Barroso Campos
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/06 Ivan Dreycopp
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Markus Molder
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
1-2 11-16 L
09/06 Hanu Patel
M15 Vaasa · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/11 Pepijn Bastiaansen
UTR Pro Tucson · Hard
2-1 17-14 W

Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/06 Kotaro Mochizuki
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
08/06 Nikolaos Koutroubis
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
31/05 Alberto Perez Mellado
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 16-17 L
28/05 Esteban Talavera Cortes
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
27/05 Pavel Lagutin
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
26/05 Miguel Angel Machado
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
25/05 Darius Florin Pop
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/11 Axel Frechet
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
13/11 Nazar Fedoryshyn
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/11 Yannik Alvarez
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matthias Uwe Kask vs Juan Pablo Valdez Guzon?

Our model gives 62% to Matthias Uwe Kask, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.