Tennis · W50 Prague · 17/08, 11:00
Prediction: Pia Lovric vs Polina Bakhmutkina
Team pages: Pia Lovric
Prediction summary
Winner
Pia Lovric
Polina Bakhmutkina
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Pia Lovric
7-3 (W-L)
Polina Bakhmutkina
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pia Lovric 1554 · Polina Bakhmutkina 1475
| Pia Lovric | Polina Bakhmutkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pia Lovric (rating 1554 vs 1475).
Statistics
| Pia Lovric | Polina Bakhmutkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.5 | 8.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 50.5% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pia Lovric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Klara Kajabova W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Francesca Curmi W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Luisa Fusil W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Gabriela Ce W35 Torino |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 Torino |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Julie Struplova W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Alesia Breaz W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
Polina Bakhmutkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Valentyna Benda W50 Prague |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcelina Podlinska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Barbara Straszewska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/04 | Coline Briand W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/03 | Ekaterina Kazionova W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/03 | Aneta Laboutkova W75 Murska Sobota |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/02 | Eri Shimizu W100 Bengaluru |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Pooja Ingale W100 Bengaluru |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pia Lovric vs Polina Bakhmutkina?
Our model gives 75% to Pia Lovric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.