Tennis · Challenger Prague · 17/08, 11:30
Prediction: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Matyas Cerny
Team pages: Radu Mihai Papoe · Matyas Cerny
Prediction summary
Winner
Radu Mihai Papoe
Matyas Cerny
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Radu Mihai Papoe
8-2 (W-L)
Matyas Cerny
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radu Mihai Papoe 1552 · Matyas Cerny 1500
| Radu Mihai Papoe | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Radu Mihai Papoe (rating 1552 vs 1500).
- Radu Mihai Papoe is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Radu Mihai Papoe | Matyas Cerny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-6.5 | 9.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 61.2% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radu Mihai Papoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Jakub Vrtilka Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/08 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mihai Razvan Marinescu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Ignacio Carou Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Jou-George Gnjidic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Weis Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Max Frohlich M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radu Mihai Papoe vs Matyas Cerny?
Our model gives 66% to Radu Mihai Papoe, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.