Tennis · Challenger Prague · 17/08, 11:30
Prediction: Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William Donald
Team pages: Nerman Fatic · Matthew William Donald
Prediction summary
Winner
Nerman Fatic
Matthew William Donald
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nerman Fatic
5-5 (W-L)
Matthew William Donald
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nerman Fatic 1531 · Matthew William Donald 1558
| Nerman Fatic | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nerman Fatic dominates on serve: 13.2 aces and 47.5% break avg.
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Nerman Fatic | Matthew William Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.3 | 12.3-8.9 |
| Aces | 13.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nerman Fatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Alec Beckley Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Kyrian Jacquet French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Luka Mikrut French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Elmer Moller Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/05 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/05 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/04 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/04 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Matthew William Donald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Christopher Thies Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William Donald?
Our model gives 53% to Nerman Fatic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.